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Private Fund Value Navigation

Know what your
private funds are
worth. Now. Forward.

Sophisticated LPs run expensive analytics. None of them say how much money they are making — or will probabilistically make from here.
HELM computes both. For free.

No cost · No registration for basic access · Email to unlock full analysis · Data never stored
The Problem

Expensive analytics. Sophisticated dashboards. None of them answer the questions that matter.

You know your allocations, your cash flows, your money weighted metrics. What no system tells you is the forward value of what you hold — and how it justifies probabilistically if you sold today.

HELM answers the two questions your current analytics cannot.

"If I were selling my position today — how much money am I actually making, net of the time I've waited?"
HELM answers this — today, in yield terms
"From here, what will this position probabilistically return — and over what horizon?"
HELM answers this — forward, with confidence intervals
Robust back-testing

Tested on real cashflows and NAVs.
Not simulated data.

The probabilistic model behind HELM was validated against a proprietary database of 443 liquidated buyout funds across North America and Europe. The conditional forecast is essentially unbiased — median error within ±4% of actual outcomes across all cutoff years.

443 liquidated funds  ·  USD + EUR  ·  Vintages 1995–2013  ·  Median error <4%
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Your Data

Free to start. Private by design.

Basic access requires no registration. Duration analysis and simulation unlock with your email via Mailchimp — no password, no account. Calculations are processed server-side but your data is never stored, never retained, never used beyond the computation. What you input stays yours.

No cost No data storage No tracking Server-side calculation Data never retained
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Navigate your private
fund positions. Now.

Enter a fund. Get your duration-adjusted value and probabilistic forward return in under a minute. Free. No strings. No account.

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HELM is an analytical tool based on the DARC methodology. It does not constitute investment advice. Output should not be relied upon as the basis for any investment decision. For advisory services, risk transfer, or index licensing, contact XTAL Strategies at info@xtalstrategies.com.